Sunday, August 19, 2012

What Would President Romney Actually Do?

Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Here?s a question: does anyone have a clear idea of what Mitt Romney will actually do if elected?

The divergence between campaign promises and what happens after the election is, of course, a feature of every presidency ? and every elective office ever. But 2012 is different for a couple of reasons. Whoever is president in 2013 will have an opportunity to resolve some significant issues. Various political fights ? over the Bush tax cuts, the ?fiscal cliff,? Obamacare, and perhaps entitlement and long-term budget reform ? are coming to a head. (Some of that will occur in the lame duck period, but if Romney is elected he will likely have some input into what happens.)

And yet, aside from the default Republican position of extending the Bush tax cuts, what Romney will do is a mystery.?This is partly Romney?s ideological indeterminacy: nobody knows if he means what he says. But it?s also because there is a widening gulf between GOP proposals and the realities of governing. If Romney wins, that will immediately pose obstacles for him. (n.b.: Much of this depends on a single unknown: who controls the Senate. If it?s the Democrats, Romney?s maneuvering room will be severely curtailed.)

Would President Romney do what Grover Norquist and the conservative movement want: try to pass a sweeping budget reform a la the Ryan plan, or his own (similar but considerably vaguer) plan?

But Democrats will likely oppose this en masse, so this would almost certainly have to be done through the budget reconciliation process, which requires only a simple majority in the Senate, assuming the GOP wins control. This is extremely risky, though:?major, once-in-a-generation reforms usually require an agreement between both parties. Because major reforms aren?t painless. If one party takes full responsibility for them, it?s going to get hammered for it sooner or later, and possibly for a long time. You break the welfare state, you own the pieces.

Or:

Source: http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnmcquaid/2012/08/19/what-would-president-romney-actually-do/

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